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development projections


DEVELOPMENT FOCUS (2006–2009) Prospects and Framework for Development
The prospects and framework outline the overall scope and direction of future development. These cover among other things, population projections, physical and social needs (roads, education and health as they fall under the three pronged thematic area, namely;
  • Private Sector Competitiveness
  • Human Resource Development
  • Good Governance and Civic Responsibility

Population Projection
Human beings are the ultimate beneficiaries of all development initiatives. It is in this regard that the knowledge about the size of the population, composition, current and future needs are central to development planning.

For it is only with that knowledge that informed decisions can be made regarding the kind of intervention undertaken by any given district with respect to set goals. Population projection is therefore a fundamental tool and the basis for development planning.

The population of the metropolis is projected using the Exponential Method. This has been preferred in view of the nature of the variables that constitute the population dynamics; namely;
  • The Birth Rate
  • The Death Rate
  • The Rate of Migration
The choice of this method is also premised on the assumption that:
  • The birth rate will be high within the plan period
  • The death rate will remain constant within the plan period
  • The rate of migration will increase within the plan period
On the basis of these assumptions, therefore the various projections have been made in Table 47.

For tables refer to pdf file attached



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