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Development Projections

Development Projections
The development projections were undertaken by projecting the current situation into the future. A few assumptions were made to guide the projections for the provision of facilities over the plan period. These included the assumption that the municipality’s population growth rate will remain unchanged over the plan period and that government will continue to pursue the policies and programmes in the MTDF 2010-2013. Besides the assumptions, standard for the provision of the various services were used to determine current population served and the un-served population. The numbers of facilities needed or required over the 4-years period were then computed.

The availability of data was a major challenge in this exercise. In view of this only sectors with the required data were considered. In the area of household sanitation facilities projections the information was captured from the Municipal Environmental Sanitation Strategy and Action Plan (MESSAP) 2008-2015.

Development Objectives Under Thematic Areas
The specific objectives that will be pursued towards the achievement of the development goal of the municipality are given under the seven thematic areas below.

Improvement and sustenance of microeconomic stability

  1. Increase the mobilization of IGF by 25% annually
  2. Commit 20% of IGF to funding capital projects annually
  3. Increase the capacity of revenue collectors to mobilize revenue
  4. Procure a software for billing and upgrade the software annually
  5. Conduct two public education programmes on revenue mobilization annually
  6. Strengthen the internal audit unit

Expanded development of infrastructure

  • Upgrade urban road network in 13 communities by 2013
  • Embark on pothole patching activities on all paved roads
  • Grade and open up roads in all communities    
  • Provide speed humps on selected urban roads
  • Undertake routine maintenance on selected feeder roads
  • Embark on feeder roads track engineering activities
  • Increase household sanitation coverage from 31 % to 41 % by 2013
  • Increase registration of food handlers by 20% annually
  • Enforce the sanitation bye-laws and regulations in all communities
  • Promote the sale of wholesome foods within the municipality
  • Increase environmental health service capacity by training all Public health staff by 2012
  • Control stray animals, pest and vector infestation in the municipality by 2013
  • Ensure orderly development of settlements and prevent slums
  • Protect public lands and open spaces
  • Improve solid waste collection from 63% to 71% by 2013
  • Identify and acquire a site for the construction of an engineered final disposal site
  • Increase door to door collection of waste coverage by 2013

Accelerated Agriculture modernization and Agro-based industrial development

  1. Increase agricultural production and productivity
  2. Promote livestock and alternative livelihood programmes    
  3. Promote tree planting programmes on public lands to secure them and green the environment
  4. Facilitate tree planting activities among communities and social groups    

Sustainable partnerships between government and private sector

  •  Promote the health and safety of consumers
  • Create employment opportunities in selected sectors by 2013
  • Promote the domestic tourism potentials of the municipality
  • Collaborate with relevant institutions for the development of potential tourist site by 2013

Development the Human Resource for national development

  1. Improve the quality of teaching and learning by 2013  
  2. Provide six (7) new classroom blocks by 2013
  3. Rehabilitate 7 school infrastructure by 2013
  4. Construct 4 Library facilities by the end of the plan period
  5. Fence 4 school lands by 2012            
  6. Provide five (5) pre-school blocks by 2013    
  7. Promote Ga and French language in the various schools       
  8. Regularly improve health demographic data base    
  9. Improve health infrastructure by 2013       
  10. Ensure reduction and effective management of HIV/AIDS/TB by 2013
  11. Provide scholarships for 50 needy but brilliant people to access acquire vocational skills
  12. Ensure improved maternal and child health care
  13. Bridge equity gaps in access to health care and nutrition
  14. Increase birth and deaths registration from 39.6% to 60%
  15. Rehabilitate and upgrade the Women’s Vocational school at Madina by 2012
  16. Develop the human resource capacity of the Assembly
  17. Provide staff residential accommodation

Transparent Accountable Government

  • Promote civic rights and responsibilities among the populace
  • Facilitate full citizens participation in local governance
  • Establish gender machinery and promote gender mainstreaming by 2013
  • Ensure transparency and fairness in financial management of the Assembly
  • Promote and protect children’s rights through adjudication at the child panels
  • Monitor and supervise the running of six (6) child care institutions by the end of the plan period
  • Provide community care services to destitute elderly and persons with disabilities
  • Improve security in the various communities by 2013

Reducing poverty with income inequality

  1. Support women’s groups by providing skills training for 10 groups by 2011
  2. Support 10 women’s’groups to access credit facilities by 2013    
  3. To improve leadership skills of women to actively participate in decision making
  4. To provide support services in community animation, mass and group meetings
  5. Increase public awareness on disaster manage and prevention by 2013
  6. Train and equip 50 disaster volunteers to handle emergency situations by 2012

Development Stragegies
The following strategies would be adopted to support the achievement of stated objectives. The strategies are captured under the seven thematic areas as follows.

Improvement and sustenance of microeconomic stability

  • Minimize leakages in the revenue collection system
  • Procure software for the preparation of bills    
  • Monitor and supervise revenue mobilization
  • Organize public education programmes    
  • Develop a more effective data collection mechanisms for monitoring revenue and expenditure
  • Strengthen the internal Audit unit
  • Remove bottlenecks associated with the acquisition of Business Operating Permit (BOP)

Expanded development of infrastructure

  1. Facilitate the extension of electricity to selected communities
  2. Facilitate the provision of water to selected urban and peri-urban communities
  3. Undertake routine maintenance of selected roads    
  4. Upgrade selected roads    
  5. Prepare essential settlement planning schemes and layouts    
  6. Promote advocacy and public education on development control
  7. Enforce the planning and building regulations    
  8. Promote street naming and house numbering    
  9. Promote the construction and use of household latrines
  10. Enforce the sanitation bye-laws
  11. Intensify hygiene education    
  12. Acquire and develop land fill site
  13. Promote and support public private partnership in solid waste management    
  14. Promote polluter-pays principles in waste management    
  15. Establish environmental sanitation fund
  16. Improve road conditions and network    
  17. Improve drainage systems

Accelerated Agriculture modernization and Agro-based industrial development

  • Promote the growth and development of agro-business   
  • Rehabilitate viable irrigation infrastructure    
  • Promote access to certified seeds and improved planting materials    
  • Promote the formation of viable farmer groups and famer-based organization
  • Promote greening Ga East Municipal Assembly programme

Sustainable partnerships between government and private sector

  1. Promote consumer awareness programme
  2. Prevent the sale of unsafe an
  3. Remove poor quality goods on the market
  4. Enhance job creation through the National Youth Employment Programme (NYEP)
  5. Create enabling environment for the implementation of social protection programme
  6. Promote Disability issues    
  7. Promote the welfare of children and difficult circumstances
  8. Support and provide after school vocational training of children below 18 years
  9. Facilitate the development of historical sites

Developing the Human Resources for national development

  • Strengthen District Health Management Team
  • Intensify public education on malaria control and better sanitation
  • Provide outreach services in clinics
  • Construct health facilities
  • Improve health management information services
  • Improve access to antenatal care
  • Promote counseling and testing of HIV/AIDS    
  • Provide infrastructure facilities for basic schools
  • Provide sanitation facilities for basic schools
  • Fence selected schools to prevent encroachment
  • Provide Teachers retention scheme
  • Provide ICT facilities for selected schools    
  • Improve birth and death registration coverage
  • Promote active participation in local governance
  • Promote safe sex practices (HIV/AIDS)
  • Strengthen MHMT
  • Expand reproductive health services
  • Strengthen and provide support for the substructures
  • Build the capacity of the Assembly staff to effectively support local governance
  •  Empower women to mainstream gender   

Transparent and Accountable governance   

  1. Civic responsibility advocacy programmes   
  2. Participatory approach to development issues      
  3. Gender sensitive approache
  4. Link planning to budgeting    
  5. Enhance security in the municipality
  6. Protect the rights of children
  7. Facilitate equitable access to social services
  8. Advocacy on disability issues
  9. Enhance security in the municipality

Reduction of poverty and income inequalities

  • Encourage alternative micro finance for women group
  • Promote women participation in decision making process
  • Create enabling environment for women in the informal sector
  • Ensure effective disaster management and prevent flooding

Development Programmes
Introduction

This chapter delves into the phasing out of projects and programmes in the four year medium tern development strategy. Other issues considered in the chapter include the composite programme of action and the indicative financial plan for the period. It is important to state that the financial projections focus on the Assembly’s’ IGR and the common fund. Other Donor funds that are likely to flow in during the plan period are also factored in. The sustainability tests are also captured in this chapter.

The municipality’s development projects and programmes for the 4-year plan period were formulated at the various community levels planning dialogue forum organized by the MPCU. The meetings brought to gather stakeholders with knowledge of development issues in their communities. The identified development interventions were then prioritized both at the community level and Zonal council levels. Besides this, the situation analysis in the various sectors also brought to the fore various gaps in service delivery which were harmonized with the community /zonal council level priority interventions to come out with the projects and programmes in the programme of action.

Composite Programme of Action
The composite programme of action matrix gives a broad idea of the interventions to be prosecuted during the plan period. The matrix has been prepared to provide the essential steps for ease of implementation. It specifies the location of projects, monitoring indicators, time frame for implementation as well as the indicative budget.

Also included is source of funding the project and the implementing department or organization. Details of the programme of action for 2010-2013 are given in table 4.5

Sustainability Appraisal

Sustainable development acknowledges a causal link between the state of environment and development interventions. This implies that a conscious effort will have to be adopted to reduce if not to eliminate completely methods of development that leads to resource depletion, land degradation, pollution of water bodies which results in ill-health and adverse effect on peoples livelihoods

It is against this background that the MPCU undertook sustainability and compatibility tests of its policies, programmes and projects (PPP). The objective of the exercise is to assess the relative sustainability of the various interventions as well as indicating measures to be taken to refine PPPs and make them more sustainable. The ultimate goal is to mainstream sustainable development principles in the Assembly’s development efforts.

The MPCU adopted the sustainability and compatibility tools provided in the guidelines for preparing the MPDPs. The tools are in the form of matrices. The compatibility matrix was used to compare the way in which different programmes inter-react with each other. The objective was to determine the degree to which programmes mutually support or work against each other. Besides this, the sustainability test was also applied to ascertain how well the Policies, programmes and projects perform against the various sustainability criteria. The exercise brought to the fore measures to be undertaken to improve performance to ensure environmental sustainability.

On the compatibility of programmes and projects the results indicated that most of the programmes had either supportive or neutral interaction. Most of the programmes were mutually supportive and therefore could be implemented effectively.

The results of the sustainability test are summarized as indicated in table 4.1. It was observed that the road projects had some effects on the natural environment especially the news ones to be pursued by feeder’s roads. The urban roads projects had effects on the natural environment in the form of air pollution. The projects also had some negative effects on social cohesion and temporal dislocation of economic ventures. Its long term impacts of municipal economy can however not be overemphasized. Roads construction was the topmost priority in all the three zonal councils which confirms its long term impact.

Indicative Financial Plan
A major task for the successful implementation of the MTDP 2010-2013 is the effective mobilization and management of crucial fmancial resources. This section therefore delves into the analysis and projection of revenue to support the various interventions that will be directly financed by the Municipal Assembly. The sources of the Assembly’s internally generated revenue includes the under listed.

  • Fees and fines
  • Rent on Assembly’s property
  • Investments    
  • Rates
  • Grants
  • Lands    
  • Other unspecified receipts   

Other sources the Assembly anticipate to receive monies from is the FOAT and Gender sensitive response skills programme. The financial projections for the plan period were based on the analysis of the actual revenue collected in 2008 and 2009.

Forecasting the financial requirement for the plan period is based on analysis of the amount of actual revenue collected in 2009. Detail of the analysis is provided in Table 4.2 below.

The table 4.1 above gives the analysis of revenue for 2009. It is to be noted that out of the projected Gh04,484,8OO.OO for 2009, GH02,768,165.5O representing 61.72% of the projected figure was collected. Out of this Fees & Fines represented the major source of revenue to the Assembly( 116.95%) The second ranked source of revenue to the Assembly was receipts from Miscellaneous (Unspecified receipts ) (116.88%) .

This figure is on the high side as a result of the fact that items were either not recorded in the GCR properly (description was not clear because it is not in the revenue item ) or it was not captured under any of the revenue heads. It is anticipated that with the series of training programmes set out for all Collectors of Revenue for the Municipal Assembly some of these problems will be a thing of the past. The MPCU is therefore indicating that revenue will be increasing at an average of % ….. annually. This annual average increase has therefore been used to project revenue inflow over the 4-year plan period. The expected inflows in given in table 4.3.

The plan will be financed from mostly the DACF, IGF, Donor Grants from DFID, MP’s Common Fund, Getfund,  HIPC, MSHAP as well as Government of Ghana revenues for decentralized departments programme.  

Cost of The Medium Term Plan (financing Surplus or Deficit)
The total cost of the Medium Term Development Plan is 80,998,328.00. Out of this an amount of 100,000.00 will be financed directly by Government through the decentralized departments. The actual amount of the MTDP that the Assembly will support through the various revenue sources identified above is 10,934,129.00. It is this amount that has been matched against the projected revenue to arrive at a deficit or surplus. Table 4.4 gives details of financing the plan.

The total cash flow over the plan period was calculated by subtracting the amount of GOG funds as stated in table 4.3 from the total revenue for the period.  Also only 20% of IGF was added to the total amount for funding projects.  It is also worth mentioning that roads projects as well as health projects that are not be funded directly by the Assembly are not included in the table. 4.4.

Refer to the pdf file for tables below.




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